UAE Fuel Prices May 2026: Relief Unlikely, What To Expect

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JUST IN: UAE Fuel Prices for May 2026 have been announced

Brent averaged $99 in April. Here is what analysts say comes next — and how to budget either way.

UAE petrol prices are due for their monthly revision on 30 April 2026, with new rates effective from 1 May.

April’s prices jumped by roughly AED 0.80 per litre, a 33% increase over March, after the Strait of Hormuz closure sent oil surging. Now, with April’s average Brent crude sitting at approximately $99 per barrel, analysts and energy journalists are signalling that significant relief is unlikely.

This article covers:

  • What the UAE Fuel Price Committee is and how it sets prices
  • The April 2026 prices
  • What April’s oil market data signals for May — and who is saying it
  • A budget breakdown at different tank sizes
  • Whether switching vehicles now makes financial sense

UAE Fuel Prices May 2026: What the Oil Market Data Signals for May

These are not confirmed prices. This is what the underlying data suggests — and what energy analysts are saying.

The Fuel Price Committee sets May prices based on April’s average Brent crude price. That average is now calculable with near-completeness.

According to Khaleej Times, the average closing Brent crude price in April was $99.16 a barrel, compared with $96.96 in March — suggesting fuel prices for May could be adjusted slightly higher.

The final decision rests with the committee, which will announce revised rates on 30 April.

Oil data pointValue
Average April Brent close~$99.16/barrel
Average March Brent close~$96.96/barrel
Brent as of 28 April~$107.60/barrel
Pre-conflict level (Jan 2026)~$70/barrel
Conflict peak~$119/barrel

UAE motorists are unlikely to see a sharp drop in fuel prices in May, even as global oil markets attempt to stabilise after recent spikes — with Brent for June delivery sitting at $107.60 per barrel.

The key mechanism: The committee uses the full-month April average — not the end-of-month spike — when setting May prices. April averaged ~$99, which is marginally above March’s ~$97. That arithmetic points toward a small increase or flat outcome. It does not point toward a meaningful price cut.


What Analysts Are Forecasting for May

These are forecasts, not confirmed rates. Treat them as informed signals only.

  • Gulf News analysis published 27 April: States the overall trend for May is “no repeat of April surge, but limited relief,” adding that current market strength is “unlikely to reverse May prices higher at this stage” — pointing to May acting as a holding phase.
  • Khaleej Times reported on 25 April: Petrol prices are set to be revised next week, noting that with April’s average Brent above $99, “fuel prices could be adjusted slightly higher” — though the piece stops short of a firm prediction and defers to the committee’s 30 April announcement.
SourceForecast directionConfidence framing
Gulf News (27 Apr)Flat to marginal increase“No repeat of April surge, limited relief”
Khaleej Times (25 Apr)Marginal increase possible“Could be adjusted slightly higher”
Both sourcesNo meaningful price cutConsistent signal
What April 2026 Prices Were

The Fuel Price Committee raised petrol prices in the UAE by around AED 0.80 per litre, or nearly one-third, for April after oil surged in March following the outbreak of the Middle East war on 28 February.

Fuel typeMarch 2026April 2026Change
Super 98AED 2.59/LAED 3.39/L+AED 0.80
Special 95AED 2.48/LAED 3.28/L+AED 0.80
E-Plus 91AED 2.40/LAED 3.20/L+AED 0.80
Diesel~AED 3.50/LAED 4.69/L+AED 1.19

The April surge was driven by the effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz — roughly 21 miles at its narrowest point — which handles around 20% of the world’s daily oil supply. When it closed in late February, global crude prices reacted within days.


What Is the UAE Fuel Price Committee?

Every driver in the UAE pays a price set by a single monthly decision.

The Fuel Price Committee is a body under the UAE Ministry of Energy and Infrastructure that reviews global oil benchmarks — primarily the S&P Global Platts index — at the end of each month and sets retail fuel prices for the following month.

The UAE removed fuel subsidies in 2015, meaning prices now track global markets directly. Prices are identical across all emirates and all stations (ADNOC, ENOC, EPPCO). The next announcement is due 30 April 2026, with prices effective from 1 May.


Budgeting Both Scenarios – If May Prices Stay Flat, or Increase

The honest approach: plan for flat-to-slightly-higher, and know your April baseline.

Most Dubai residents drive SUVs or mid-size sedans with 50–80 litre tanks.

The table below shows your confirmed April monthly cost and what a flat or marginal increase means in May.

All figures use Special 95 pricing. And assumes four fills per month.

Vehicle tank sizeApril bill ✅If May flatIf May +AED 0.10/LIf May -AED 0.20/L
50L (small sedan)AED 656AED 656AED 676AED 616
65L (mid sedan/SUV)AED 853AED 853AED 879AED 801
80L (large SUV)AED 1,050AED 1,050AED 1,082AED 986
100L (large 4×4)AED 1,312AED 1,312AED 1,352AED 1,232

April already put most Dubai households AED 200–320 per month above their January baseline.

May is unlikely to reverse that.



Does Switching to a More Efficient Vehicle Make Sense Now?

The UAE recorded its highest-ever petrol prices in 2022 after the Russia-Ukraine war, when Super 98 hit AED 4.63 per litre in July 2022.

Current April prices at AED 3.28–3.39 are elevated by recent standards but still below that 2022 record. Whether the sustained higher baseline justifies a vehicle switch depends on your numbers.

OptionEst. monthly saving vs large SUVUpfront premiumRough break-even
Downsize to small sedan~AED 200Varies by trade12–24 months
Switch to hybrid~AED 300–400AED 15,000–30,0003–5 years
Switch to full EV (DEWA home charging at AED 0.44/kWh)~AED 700–800AED 20,000–40,0002–4 years
Keep car, reduce unnecessary tripsVariableAED 0Immediate

These break-even figures assume prices remain broadly at or above current levels. If prices returned to January’s ~AED 2.48 for Special 95, the EV case weakens significantly. If prices hold or rise further, the case strengthens fast.


When and How to Find the Official May Price

The 30 April announcement is the only number that matters. Here is where to find it the moment it drops.

PlatformWhat to check
UAE Ministry of Energy & Infrastructuremoenr.gov.ae — official source
Gulf Newsgulfnews.com — typically first to publish
Khaleej Timeskhaleejtimes.com — real-time energy desk
X (Twitter)@GulfNews, @KhaleejTimes — fastest distribution
Announcement date30 April 2026
Effective date1 May 2026

Bookmark this. The announcement typically goes live between 8pm and midnight on the last day of the month. Set a reminder, check the official source, and update your budget accordingly.

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